No Hikaru, no Praggnanandhaa: Arjun Erigaisi names surprise FIDE Candidates 2026 favourite

Indian chess prodigy Arjun Erigaisi has made some bold predictions days ahead of the FIDE Candidates 2026 chess tournament, which will decide the challenger for D Gukesh’s world title. The winner of the eight-player FIDE Candidates 2026, which will be played from 28 March in Cyprus, will take on world champion Gukesh in the World Chess Championship late this year.

While Erigaisi narrowly missed qualifying for the Candidates, he is backing his good friend and fellow Indian R Praggnanandhaa to do well in the prestigious tournament. The 20-year-old Praggnanandhaa has never won the Candidates, but Erigaisi picked him and FIDE World Cup winner Javokhir Sindarov as two players he would be rooting for, in an interview with ChessBase India.

More from Chess

FIDE Candidates: Erigaisi supports Pragg, but Caruana is his favourite

However, neither Praggnanandhaa nor Uzbek Grandmaster Sindarov features in Erigaisi’s top pick to win the tournament. The 22-year-old from Warangal feels that American Grandmaster Fabiano Caruana is the clear favourite to win the FIDE Candidates 2026.

Interestingly, Erigaisi did not pick world No 2 Hikaru Nakamura, who, for many, is the favourite to win the tournament.

When asked who would win the World Chess Championship 2026 between Gukesh and Caruana if the American qualifies, Erigaisi was a bit uncertain but picked the USA chess maestro as his final choice. Despite Erigaisi giving Caruana the advantage due to his experience, he also added that Gukesh would give a tough fight.

“Probably Fabiano. In general, I believe Gukesh does well against Fabi (Caruana), but in a World Chess Championship match, it’s quite different. I still think it will be close,” Erigaisi told ChessBase India.

It will be a dream come true for Caruana if Erigaisi’s prediction holds in the end. He has already made one failed attempt, losing to Magnus Carlsen in the 2018 World Chess Championship.

Meanwhile, the pairings for FIDE Candidates 2026 were revealed on Friday. Caruana will start the tournament against rival Nakamura, while Praggnanandhaa faces Dutch Grandmaster Anish Giri in his first match.