US election 2016: Pro-Donald Trump trends among Black voters and educated White males are distressing indicators
One, young educated White males don’t seem to have been put off by Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump as much as many liberals had expected. Second, black voters don’t seem to have rallied to the booths to make sure Trump did not get through to the White House. Both these trends have helped Trump.


A Donald Trump supporter during the night of the Election result. Reuters[/caption]The image that Clinton is not above board in financial and administrative morality, apparently, did make a significant impact.If indeed many Black voters did decide to stay away from polling booths, it is a dangerous trend. It needs to be read in the sombre light of several attacks against Black citizens by policemen and vigilantes across parts of the US. It would seem to indicate a general disillusionment with the system overall – a sense that the cards are not only stacked against a Black young man, the dealer isn’t fair either.Remember, Black voters across the US had voted in large numbers for the incumbent, the first Black to hold the office of President in the US. There was tremendous hope when Barack Obama was elected eight years ago, a conviction that the Civil Rights movement of the 1960s had taken a quantum leap, that Black people would feel empowered and energised. That did not happen.In fact, the rise of Trump shows that the US is moving the other way. If turnout is an indication, too many Black people seem to have given up. That is not good.Commentary on educationThe other - converse - trend is also worrying. If educated young White men voted for Trump in larger numbers than had been expected, it indicates that this key demographic segment is not so averse to Trump’s upfront xenophobia, racism, and misogyny. On the other hand, it would indicate that Trump read the national mood right. Like a good businessman, he tailored his campaign to a newly expanding market.That is a sad commentary on contemporary education in the US. Liberalism is not as strongly entrenched as many of us had thought. Perhaps, we focus too much on Ivy League institutions and do not adequately take into account (perhaps still incipient) hidden trends in colleges and universities across the US.What this means is that xenophobia and misogyny are okay with far more young White males in the US than most had thought. The sixties and seventies are long gone – and it is the liberalism of that time that formed the early Clintons.Fear is the keyFear of the other, seen in the frame of terrorist, is apparently far more widespread than most of the liberal media had realised. It was remarkable that Trump’s early discourse about Latino migrants as not only 'illegal' but as 'rapists' and other kinds of criminal brought him enough support to make him a serious contender. Then it brought him enough support to win him the Republican nomination, and now, it would seem, the Presidency too.All these trends indicate that a large swathe of people in the US think of the world in terms of a clash of 'civilisations'.The Brexit vote this summer already indicated this about the UK, which prided itself on having a 'multi-cultural' society just a couple of decades ago. Trends in France, Holland, Denmark, Poland, Hungary, Turkey, Russia and closer home indicate that citizens in the US and the UK are not the only ones.This does not augur well for world peace.
David Devadas is an expert on politics and geopolitics. Formerly a Senior Fellow at the Nehru Memorial Museum and Library, Visiting Professor at Jamia Millia Islamia, and Political Editor of Business Standard, he is currently Distinguished Fellow at the Institute for Social Sciences. He has written books on Kashmir, on youth, and on history. He has been a radio compere, guest faculty at JNU's Academic Staff College, St Stephen's College and Hindu College. He has worked for the Indian Express, The Hindustan Times, India Today, The Economic Times and Gulf News. His most impactful article, on a murder cover-up, prevented a Congress President from becoming prime minister. One led to the closure of an airline, and another created a furore and consequent clean-up in Delhi's health department. Several have correctly predicted election results in key states, and a series of reports from Srinagar made the government aware of how unsettled the situation there was in 1990. He is an alumnus of St Xavier's School, St Stephen's College, and the Indian Institute of Mass Communication. He has lived for extended periods in Geneva and Berlin, and has traveled to almost 50 countries. He enjoys various kinds of music, theatre, design, architecture and art.

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