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Tough times ahead for Indian advertising, warns Warc

Warc, the marketing intelligence service, today released their adspend forecast for 2013 and it does not make for pretty reading.

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Anant Rangaswami|Dec 20, 2014, 14:14:50 IST

Warc, the marketing intelligence service, today released their adspend forecast for 2013

and it does not make for pretty reading.

Warc's assessment for 12 major advertising markets sees overall growth at 4.3 percent at

current prices in 2013 year-on-year.

[caption id="attachment_537066" align="alignleft" width="380"] India remains one of the high-growth markets with growth projected at 9 percent, behind Brazil, China and Russia. Pic courtesy IBNLive.[/caption]

It gets worse if forecast inflation is taken into account, dropping to 1.6 percent.

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There's a silver lining though. India still remains one of the high-growth markets (in a

comparative sense and at current prices) with growth projected at 9 percent, behind Brazil

(9.5 percent), China (12.5 percent) and Russia (14.6 percent).

Other countries studied in the research include Australie (2.6 percent), Canada (4.7

businessMore from Business

percent), France (1.3 percent), Germany (1.7 percent), Italy (1.7 percent), Japan (1.0

percent), UK (4.0 percent) and the US (2.5 percent).

Looking at the global picture, it's no surprise, then, that WPP's Sir Martin Sorrell said

this to Times of India a few days ago . "I am still optimistic in the long run but Indians are rather depressed and lacking in self confidence... Coming from the UK, where we scramble to get 0.1% or half a percent growth, we would settle for 5%. So, one wonders why? Obviously, there are challenges.

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Of the four BRIC countries, India probably slowed the quickest - not the most, but the

quickest. When we look at India, our business this year will grow at about 10% - topline

will be around $500 million. It's firing on all cylinders, all the businesses are doing well.

Now, if the GDP grows at 5%, we should grow at 10% because we seemed to grow about

at twice the rate of GDP."

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Anant Rangaswami was, until recently, the editor of Campaign India magazine, of which Anant was also the founding editor. Campaign India is now arguably India's most respected publication in the advertising and media space. Anant has over 20 years experience in media and advertising. He began in Madras, for STAR TV, moving on as Regional Manager, South for Sony’s SET and finally as Chief Manager at BCCL’s Times Television and Times FM. He then moved to advertising, rising to the post of Associate Vice President at TBWA India. Anant then made the leap into journalism, taking over as editor of what is now Campaign India's competitive publication, Impact. Anant teaches regularly and is a prolific blogger and author of Watching from the sidelines.

First Published:Nov 27, 2012, 13:52:06 IST
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