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Gold’s new era: Why the record-breaking bull run may be just getting started

After a historic rally to record highs, gold’s momentum may still have further to go as central bank accumulation, geopolitical uncertainty, inflation concerns and expectations of future rate cuts continue to support the precious metal’s long-term outlook.

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Representational image/AFP
Representational image/AFP
FP Business Desk|Jun 18, 2026, 12:09:16 IST

Gold is entering a new era. After delivering one of its strongest rallies in recent years and reaching record highs, the precious metal is no longer being viewed simply as a short-term safe-haven trade. Instead, analysts believe a structural shift in global markets could keep gold’s bull run alive for years to come.

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While the yellow metal has witnessed periods of weakness due to stronger US economic data, elevated bond yields and uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy, market experts argue that the fundamental reasons behind gold’s rise remain intact.

One of the biggest drivers of this new gold cycle has been aggressive buying by central banks. Countries across the world have been increasing their gold reserves as they look to diversify their holdings and reduce exposure to currency risks. This steady institutional demand has provided a strong foundation for prices.

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The changing global economic landscape has also increased gold’s appeal. Rising government debt levels, concerns over fiscal stability and uncertainty around currencies have encouraged investors to search for assets that can preserve long-term value.

Geopolitical risks remain another important pillar of support. From conflicts in the Middle East to global trade tensions, uncertainty has reinforced gold’s reputation as a trusted safe-haven asset. During periods of financial stress, investors have historically moved towards gold as protection against market volatility.

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Interest rate expectations are also likely to play a crucial role in the next phase of the rally. Although delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts have created short-term pressure, analysts believe eventual monetary easing could create favourable conditions for bullion. Lower interest rates usually support gold by reducing competition from yield-generating assets.

Investment banks remain optimistic about gold’s future despite near-term volatility. UBS recently lowered its short-term outlook, citing stronger US economic conditions and higher real yields, but maintained a positive longer-term view due to continued central bank demand and expectations of future Fed easing.

Some bullish forecasts suggest gold could test even higher levels if geopolitical uncertainty continues and global demand remains strong.

Analysts warn that the path ahead may not be without corrections. After a sharp rally, gold prices could experience increased volatility as investors react to inflation trends, economic data, and central bank decisions.

However, the bigger picture remains unchanged. With central banks buying, investors seeking protection and global uncertainty reshaping financial markets, gold’s record-breaking bull run may still only be getting started.

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First Published:Jun 18, 2026, 12:09:16 IST
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